Effect of participants’ risk attitudes on one-way option electricity transaction based on utility theory

L. Xiaojun, H. Ngan, C. Yu, C. Chung, K. Wong, Tan Zhongfu
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Abstract

Electricity is a unique commodity and power price can fluctuate very severely in spot market making electricity supply industry a risky business for market participants. Mitigating risk becomes an urgent need for market participants. Benefit balance is a basic principal to carry out option. Each unit of power in the one-way option should produce the same benefit and utility to the market participants. Based on expectation and utility theory, the paper builds the benefit expectation model of the market participants to find an equilibrium option price. With the utility model by combining the benefit and risk observed in the one-way option the effects of different risk attitudes of the market participants on the one-way option are measured. Analysis results shows that the risk attitudes of market participants have an obvious effect on the option under study.
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基于效用理论的参与者风险态度对单向期权电力交易的影响
电力是一种独特的商品,电力价格在现货市场上波动很大,这使得电力供应行业对市场参与者来说是一项高风险的业务。降低风险成为市场参与者的迫切需要。利益平衡是期权实施的基本原则。单向选项中的每一单位电力应该对市场参与者产生相同的效益和效用。基于期望和效用理论,建立市场参与者的利益期望模型,寻找均衡期权价格。结合在单向期权中观察到的收益和风险,衡量了市场参与者的不同风险态度对单向期权的影响。分析结果表明,市场参与者的风险态度对所研究的期权有明显的影响。
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