Research on Rumor Spreading Model with Time Delay and Control Effect

H. Yao, Y. Zou
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract Information flow retains a critical role in decision making among investors. In this paper, we employ a diffusion model based on epidemiology theory to study the rumor spreading process within investors. The paper introduce the feedback mechanism of classical control theory into the model, which helps to reflect the interaction between rumor spreaders and information supervision. Further we apply a time delay factor to give investors access to transparent information and change their behavior. Subsequently, the stability of the rumor disappearance equilibrium and the rumor existence equilibrium are analyzed and the condition for the system undergoes a Hopf-bifurcation is given. The mathematical arguments are subjected to numerical simulations to present the ideal case scenarios. The results suggest that, increase the general strength of information supervision and the proportion coefficient associated with the infected population in the short-term delay are conducive to better control.
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具有时滞和控制效应的谣言传播模型研究
信息流在投资者决策过程中起着至关重要的作用。本文采用基于流行病学理论的扩散模型来研究谣言在投资者内部的传播过程。本文在模型中引入了经典控制论的反馈机制,有助于反映谣言传播者与信息监督之间的相互作用。此外,我们还应用了一个时间延迟因子,使投资者能够获得透明的信息并改变他们的行为。然后,分析了谣言消失均衡和谣言存在均衡的稳定性,给出了系统发生hopf分岔的条件。通过数值模拟来呈现理想的情况。结果表明,加大信息监管的总体力度,提高感染人群在短期内的相关比例系数,有利于更好地控制疫情。
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