Impact of green energy policy on sustainable environment in South Africa: an ARDL and Toda-Yamamoto approach

Julius Ibitoye Oyebanji, P. L. Roux
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper examines the long-run relationship and the direction of causality between green energy consumption and some environmental variables like deforestation, natural resource depletion, carbon dioxide emission, and non-renewable energy in South Africa from 1986 to 2015. In order to determine the long-run relationship or the sustainability level of adopting the green energy policies on the environment, the study utilised the autoregressive distributed lag bound testing approach to co-integration and the Toda-Yamamoto approach to check the direction of causalities among the variables. The study established a substitutability effect between green growth policies and the consumption of non-renewable energy. However, no evidence is found on the impact of green growth policies on the levels of deforestation and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, as well as natural resource depletion in South Africa. This study does not only make contributions to the literature on the relevance of green growth policies for achieving environmental sustainability especially insights from natural resource depletion and deforestation in South Africa. It also recommends that South Africa and other developing countries should adopt continued implementations of green growth policies as a panacea for achieving environmental sustainability.
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南非绿色能源政策对可持续环境的影响:ARDL和Toda-Yamamoto方法
本文考察了1986 - 2015年南非绿色能源消费与森林砍伐、自然资源枯竭、二氧化碳排放、不可再生能源等环境变量之间的长期关系和因果关系方向。为了确定采用绿色能源政策对环境的长期关系或可持续性水平,本研究采用协整的自回归分布滞后约束检验方法和Toda-Yamamoto方法来检查变量之间的因果关系方向。研究建立了绿色增长政策与不可再生能源消费之间的可替代性效应。然而,没有证据表明绿色增长政策对南非森林砍伐和二氧化碳排放水平以及自然资源枯竭的影响。这项研究不仅对绿色增长政策与实现环境可持续性相关的文献做出了贡献,特别是对南非自然资源枯竭和森林砍伐的见解。它还建议南非和其他发展中国家继续实施绿色增长政策,作为实现环境可持续性的灵丹妙药。
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