Developing Fiji's Persistently Small and Inactive Stock Market: Exploring a Strategic Fiji-Australia Alliance Prospect

E. Roca, Parmendra Sharma, Victor S. H. Wong
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Abstract

Fiji’s thirty-five year old stock market remains persistently small and inactive but the state’s drive to retain and develop it remains equally unwavering. Numerous strategies have been tried and tested with little attention however to the issue of ‘small scale’. Inspired by the increasing global contest by exchanges to expand their scale and scope, this study begins to explore a strategic Fiji-Australia alliance prospect by first taking stock of any existing linkages, anticipating the two markets to be already closely linked for a number of reasons including proximity, trade, aid, and a large, Australian bank presence in Fiji. Advanced time series techniques including DCC, VDC and IRF show, contrary to expectations, that Fiji’s stock market is not at all closely linked to Australia’s or any of the other major trading partners. On a slightly positive note, of all the five major trading partners, albeit hardly noteworthy, Australia might have the most influence on Fiji’s market. Nevertheless, a Fiji-Australia alliance might be the only viable option to address Fiji’s entrenched ‘small scale’ conundrum for a meaningful subsistence of its stock market; a planned future study will examine the opportunities and challenges of accomplishing the alliance.
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发展斐济持续小而不活跃的股票市场:探索斐济-澳大利亚战略联盟前景
斐济已有35年历史的股票市场仍然规模很小且不活跃,但政府保留和发展它的动力同样坚定不移。许多策略已经被尝试和测试,但很少关注“小规模”问题。受全球交易所扩大规模和范围的竞争日益激烈的启发,本研究通过首先评估任何现有联系,开始探索斐济-澳大利亚战略联盟的前景,预计两个市场已经紧密联系在一起,原因包括邻近、贸易、援助和斐济的大型澳大利亚银行。包括DCC、VDC和IRF在内的先进时间序列技术显示,与预期相反,斐济的股票市场与澳大利亚或任何其他主要贸易伙伴根本没有密切联系。稍微积极一点的是,在所有五个主要贸易伙伴中,尽管几乎不值得注意,澳大利亚可能对斐济市场的影响最大。然而,斐济-澳大利亚联盟可能是唯一可行的选择,以解决斐济根深蒂固的“小规模”难题,为其股票市场提供有意义的生存;一项计划中的未来研究将考察实现联盟的机遇和挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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