Tie strength still matters: Investigating interaction patterns of Al-Qaeda network in terror operations

Ze Li, Duoyong Sun, Kun Cai, Bo Li
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Abstract

Terror operations are carried out by a team of terrorists with their interaction and cooperation. Different tie strengths, such as acquaintances, friends, and family members, influence the construction and reconstruction of the operation team. Understanding the interaction patterns of tie strength might be useful not only for advancing our understanding of terror operations, but ultimately for providing more effective methods of countering terrorist violence. To this end, in this paper, we designed an operation-related social network, and analyzed the tie strength selection and cooperative reconnection in the terror operation networks. We proposed three hypotheses about the tie strengths and had the Al-Qaeda dataset investigated to test the hypotheses. Results demonstrate that the terrorist organization has some different interaction patterns against the ordinary social organizations and the terror operations share similar features with crime events in rational choice. Our analysis reveals that tie strength matters in terror operations and is essentially helpful in making counterterrorism strategies.
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联系强度仍然很重要:调查基地组织网络在恐怖行动中的互动模式
恐怖行动是由一群恐怖分子在他们的相互作用和合作下进行的。不同的纽带力量,如熟人、朋友、家庭成员,影响着运营团队的建设和重建。了解领带强度的相互作用模式可能不仅有助于提高我们对恐怖行动的理解,而且最终有助于提供更有效的打击恐怖主义暴力的方法。为此,本文设计了一个与行动相关的社会网络,并对恐怖行动网络中的纽带强度选择和合作重连进行了分析。我们提出了三个关于联系强度的假设,并调查了基地组织的数据集来检验这些假设。结果表明,恐怖组织与普通社会组织的互动模式有所不同,恐怖活动在理性选择上与犯罪事件具有相似的特征。我们的分析表明,纽带力量在恐怖行动中很重要,对制定反恐战略至关重要。
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