Empirical evidence of profitability anomaly in the Thai stock market

Y. Kakinuma
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Abstract

This study presents empirical evidence of profitability anomaly in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The effects of gross profitability, operating profitability, and cash flow-to-price (C/P) on the subsequent stock returns are examined using the data from 2002 to 2019. The results of Fama-Macbeth (1973) regression and Carhart (1997) four-factor model indicate that gross profitability and C/P have significant explanatory power for future returns but not operating profitability. Further analysis confirms that gross profitability-sorted portfolio generates the largest risk-adjusted return and C/P-sorted portfolio presents the best consistency to outperform the market. Investing in the portfolios consisted of stocks with high gross profitability and C/P provides protection from the market downside.
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泰国股市盈利能力异常的实证证据
本研究提出泰国证券交易所盈利能力异常的实证证据。利用2002年至2019年的数据,研究了总盈利能力、营业盈利能力和现金流价格比(C/P)对随后股票回报的影响。Fama-Macbeth(1973)回归和Carhart(1997)四因素模型的结果表明,总盈利能力和C/P对未来收益有显著的解释力,但对经营盈利能力没有显著的解释力。进一步的分析证实,毛利润排序的投资组合产生最大的风险调整后收益,市盈率排序的投资组合表现出最佳的一致性,表现优于市场。投资组合由高毛利率和高C/P的股票组成,可以保护投资者免受市场下跌的影响。
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