Scoring Model for Prediction of Placenta Accreta Spectrum (PAS) in Early Pregnancy

H. S. Kamel, Diaa Eldeen M. Abd El Aal, Mohammed Nagy Elammary, Mohammed Twfik
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Abstract

Aim: The objective of this prospective cohort study is to create a scoring model for prediction of placenta accreta in early pregnancy by two-dimensional ultrasound and color Doppler. Materials and Methods: In our study, we investigated 146 Patients at high risk of PAS using two dimensional and color Doppler ultrasound for findings suggestive of placenta accreta in early pregnancy. At time of delivery, diagnosis of placenta accreta was confirmed clinically. Results: Significant Doppler and 2D ultrasound findings for prediction for PAS in early pregnancy were; low implantation of the gestational sac, presence of placental lacunae and gestational sac or placenta overlapping uterine scar by 2D transvaginal ultrasound and Intraplacental dilated vessels by Doppler ultrasound. A scoring model for prediction of PAS in early pregnancy was created using these significant findings in addition to the number of previous CS deliveries. A cut-off point of 4.5 (out of 7.5 total score value) was used for prediction of cases at high risk of placenta accreta with sensitivity 77% and specificity 95%. Conclusion: A standardized risk assessment scoring model based on number of previous cesarean deliveries, 2Dultrasound and Doppler findings can predict women at highest risk for morbidly adherent placenta in early pregnancy with relatively high specificity.
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早期妊娠胎盘增生谱(PAS)预测的评分模型
目的:本前瞻性队列研究的目的是建立二维超声和彩色多普勒预测妊娠早期胎盘增生的评分模型。材料与方法:本研究采用二维及彩色多普勒超声检查146例妊高征妊高征妊高征妊高征妊高征妊高征妊高征。分娩时,临床确诊为胎盘增生。结果:多普勒和二维超声对早孕PAS的预测有显著意义;二维经阴道超声检查妊娠囊低着床、存在胎盘腔隙、妊娠囊或胎盘重叠子宫瘢痕,多普勒超声检查胎盘内血管扩张。利用这些重要的发现,加上以前的CS分娩次数,建立了一个预测早孕PAS的评分模型。分值为4.5分(总分为7.5分),敏感性为77%,特异性为95%。结论:基于既往剖宫产次数、二维超声及多普勒检查结果的标准化风险评估评分模型可预测妊娠早期病态附着性胎盘高危妇女,特异性较高。
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