Daily Load Forecasting of Electric Power Manufacturing Industry Considering Disaster Weather Recognition Under the Deep Learning

Mingyu Li, Yujing Liu, Zhengsen Ji, D. Niu, Huanfen Zhang
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Abstract

At present, the power load of large power users such as electric power manufacturing enterprises is greatly affected by abnormal factors, among which the weather factor is one of the important influencing factors. How to accurately forecast the load level by considering weather factors is of great significance. This paper uses cluster analysis to screen out similar days that are severely affected by weather from the load data throughout the year. And a deep learning forecasting model that considers weather factors is built to realize the daily load forecast of electric power manufacturing enterprises. The realization of this research is helpful to provide accurate load forecasting methods for electric power manufacturing enterprises. The production plans according to weather conditions can be adjusted and the risks can be avoided, which can improve production efficiency.
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深度学习下考虑灾害天气识别的电力制造业日负荷预测
目前,电力制造企业等电力大用户的电力负荷受异常因素影响较大,其中天气因素是重要的影响因素之一。如何综合考虑天气因素,准确预测负荷水平具有重要意义。本文采用聚类分析方法,从全年负荷数据中筛选出受天气影响严重的相似日。建立了考虑天气因素的深度学习预测模型,实现了电力生产企业的日负荷预测。本研究的实现有助于为电力制造企业提供准确的负荷预测方法。可以根据天气情况调整生产计划,规避风险,提高生产效率。
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