The Political and Economic Results of May 2015

S. Zhavoronkov
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Abstract

As far as Russia is concerned, the main news of May 2015 was the celebration of the 70th anniversary of VE day. Inside Russia, this country’s victory in WW2 was celebrated with true enthusiasm on a massive scale. However, an overwhelming majority of foreign heads of state had chosen to ignore the VE day celebration in Moscow, and so it was attended by the head of state of only one major power, China. At the subsequent negotiations with the Chinese leader, Russia managed to get some fi nancing from China, but its volume amounted to just several billion USD, which clearly indicates that, at least for now, Russia cannot rely on China as an adequate substitute for international fi nancial markets. According to available information, Angela Merkel’s and John Kerry’s visits to Moscow yielded only meager results. No details leaked out, but apparently these results were limited to the parties to the talks reaffi rming their support to the current truce in Ukraine. In a separate development, United Russia came up with a proposal to move Russia’s next parliamentary elections up three months to September 2016, a shift that will relegate the electoral campaign to vacati on season. As this initiative appears to be constitutionally contradictory, its future, for the time being, remains unclear
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2015年5月的政治经济结果
就俄罗斯而言,2015年5月的主要新闻是胜利日70周年的庆祝活动。在俄罗斯国内,人们以真正的热情大规模庆祝这个国家在二战中的胜利。然而,绝大多数外国国家元首选择无视在莫斯科举行的胜利日庆祝活动,因此只有一个大国的国家元首出席了庆祝活动,那就是中国。在随后与中国领导人的谈判中,俄罗斯设法从中国获得了一些融资,但金额仅为数十亿美元,这清楚地表明,至少在目前,俄罗斯不能完全依赖中国作为国际金融市场的替代品。根据现有信息,安格拉•默克尔(Angela Merkel)和约翰•克里(John Kerry)对莫斯科的访问只取得了微不足道的成果。没有任何细节泄露,但显然这些结果仅限于会谈各方重申他们对乌克兰目前休战的支持。另一方面,统一俄罗斯党提出了一项提议,将俄罗斯的下一届议会选举提前三个月至2016年9月举行,这将使竞选活动进入休假季。由于这一倡议在宪法上似乎是矛盾的,它的未来目前仍然不明朗
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