Foreign Capital Inflows and Stock Market Development in Nigeria: An Asymmetric Causality Approach

E. O. Awoleye
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Abstract

The study used the recently developed symmetric and asymmetric Granger causality test by Hatemi-J to investigate the causal relationships between foreign capital inflows and stock market development in Nigeria from 1986 to 2019. The findings show unidirectional symmetric causality between stock market development and foreign direct investment, while no symmetric causality was found between stock market development and foreign portfolio investment. The results show unidirectional asymmetric causality of positive and negative shocks of stock market development to the negative shock of foreign direct investment. In contrast, the negative shock of stock market development shows a unidirectional asymmetric causality to the positive shock of foreign portfolio investment. The results revealed the causality relationship between foreign capital inflows and stock market development, including positive and negative aspects in Nigeria. These findings have implications for portfolio design and strategies that are important to policymakers and investors.How to Cite:Awoleye, E. O., (2022). Foreign Capital Inflows and Stock Market Development in Nigeria: An Asymmetric Causality Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 11(2), 339-354. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26195.JEL Classification: G12, F21, D82, C19
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外资流入与尼日利亚股市发展:非对称因果关系分析
本研究采用Hatemi-J最近提出的对称和非对称格兰杰因果检验,考察1986 - 2019年尼日利亚外资流入与股市发展之间的因果关系。结果表明,股票市场发展与外国直接投资之间存在单向对称的因果关系,而股票市场发展与外国证券投资之间不存在对称的因果关系。结果表明,股票市场发展的正负冲击与外商直接投资的负冲击之间存在单向不对称的因果关系。相反,股票市场发展的负面冲击对国外证券投资的正面冲击表现出单向的不对称因果关系。结果揭示了外资流入与尼日利亚股票市场发展之间的因果关系,包括积极和消极的方面。这些发现对政策制定者和投资者的投资组合设计和策略具有重要意义。引用方式:Awoleye, E. O.,(2022)。外资流入与尼日利亚股市发展:非对称因果关系分析。意义[j] .经济研究,11(2),339-354。https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26195.JEL分类:G12, F21, D82, C19
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