ANALISIS INDEKS KEKERINGAN METODE STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI) DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP PRODUKTIVITAS PADI DAN JAGUNG

Dewi Masruroh, Cahyoadi Bowo
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Abstract

Drought is one of the most significant impacts of the climate on agriculture, especially food crops. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is an Index for droughts. The research objective was to study the relationship of SPI values to the productivity of rice and corn crops in the Situbondo district. The result showed that the value of the SPI time scale at three months is the most appropriate for the observed productivity of rice and corn. The SPI value significantly correlated with the productivity of rice plants in the Jatibanteng and Arjasa districts but did not significantly affect the productivity of corn in the Mlandingan and Situbondo districts. Furthermore, the El-Nino phenomenon reduced the rice productivity up to 3.9% and the corn productivity up to 48.1%. The La-Nina phenomenon reduced rice productivity up to 26.0% but increased the productivity of corn up to 81.7%.
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干旱指数分析方法标准降解指数及其对水稻和玉米生产力的影响
干旱是气候对农业尤其是粮食作物影响最大的因素之一。标准化降水指数(SPI)是一种干旱指数。研究目的是研究SPI值与斯图邦多地区水稻和玉米作物生产力的关系。结果表明,3个月的SPI时间尺度值最适合于水稻和玉米的生产力观测。在Jatibanteng和Arjasa地区,SPI值与水稻产量显著相关,而在Mlandingan和sitbondo地区,SPI值对玉米产量影响不显著。厄尔尼诺现象使水稻和玉米的产量分别下降了3.9%和48.1%。拉尼娜现象使水稻产量降低26.0%,而使玉米产量提高81.7%。
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