A quantitative spatial Risk Measure for Extreme Events

Wasnaa Hashm, Manaf Ahmed
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Abstract

The environmental or climatic change events are often represented by the spatial data, as well as in extreme case. So, taking into account the spatial features of these events is essential for any risk to be assessed. Most of the previous proposed spatial risk measures considered the dispersion of the loss function as the severity amount of the risk. This is because no spatial information can be provided by the expectation of this loss of function. In the present paper, we moved forward in developing the quantitative risk measures by proposing one combination between the spatial features and severity amount at the same time. Asymptotic behavior and its axiomatic properties have been well studied for this proposed spatial risk measure. A simulation study has been carried out to verify the theoretical results.
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极端事件的定量空间风险度量
环境或气候变化事件通常由空间数据来表示,在极端情况下也是如此。因此,考虑到这些事件的空间特征对于评估任何风险都是至关重要的。以往提出的空间风险测度大都将损失函数的离散度作为风险的严重程度。这是因为这种功能损失的预期不能提供任何空间信息。在本文中,我们提出了空间特征与严重程度同时结合的定量风险度量方法。本文对该空间风险测度的渐近行为及其公理化性质进行了较好的研究。通过仿真研究验证了理论结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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