Performance Indicators of Agricultural Investment Policies in Egypt

E. Zaki, Walaa M. Mohamed
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Abstract

The research aims to study the current situation of agricultural investments in Egypt during the study period (99/2000-2018/2019). Also, identifying the efficiency of agricultural investments. Annual data covering the period 2000-2019 was used to measure the efficiency of agricultural investments in Egypt. The research also conducts econometric model to determine the actual relationship between the various economic factors that make up the economic structure of society, namely investment, income and consumption. The results reveal that inefficiency of investments in the agricultural public sector according to the criteria of investment rate, return on investment, and Endothelial coefficient, while it is noted that there is efficiency in agricultural investments in the private sector. Finally there is statistically significant positive relationship between the average of investment per capita(y) and the average of agricultural income per capita, the average of short-term agricultural loans per capita and the average per capita of agricultural exports in one year lagged (xs variables), where those (xs) changing by 1 L.E would result in statistically significant increasing of agricultural investment per capita by L.E 1.35, 1.5 and 2.6 respectively, while there is statistically significant negative relationship between the average of investment per capita(y), and the real interest rate, where this (x) changing by 1 L.E would result in statistically significant decreasing in agricultural investment per capita by L.E 2.95.
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埃及农业投资政策绩效指标
本研究旨在研究研究期间(1999 /2000-2018/2019)埃及农业投资的现状。此外,确定农业投资的效率。该研究使用2000-2019年的年度数据来衡量埃及农业投资的效率。本研究还通过计量经济模型来确定构成社会经济结构的各种经济因素,即投资、收入和消费之间的实际关系。结果表明,根据投资率、投资回报率和内皮系数的标准,农业公共部门的投资效率低下,而私营部门的农业投资则存在效率。最后,人均投资平均值(y)与人均农业收入平均值、人均短期农业贷款平均值和人均农业出口平均滞后一年(xs变量)之间存在统计学上显著的正相关关系,其中(xs)变化1 L.E将导致人均农业投资分别增加L.E 1.35、1.5和2.6,在统计学上显著。而人均投资平均值(y)与实际利率之间存在统计上显著的负相关关系,其中该(x)变化1个百分点将导致人均农业投资在统计上显著减少2.95个百分点。
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