An Analysis of Accuracy and Learning in Software Project Estimating

Andres H. Zapata, M. Chaudron
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This paper presents a study into the accuracy of different dimensions of IT project estimating: schedule, budget & effort. The study is based on a dataset of 171 projects that have been collected at the IT-department of a large Dutch multinational company. The paper also analyses whether there is any learning (improvement) effect over time. Our results show that there is no relation between accuracy of budget, schedule and effort in the analyzed organization. Besides, they show that over time there is no change of the accuracy effectiveness and efficiency. The paper reflects and provides recommendations on how to improve the learning from historical estimates.
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软件项目评估中的准确性与学习分析
本文对IT项目进度、预算和工作量三个维度的准确性进行了研究。这项研究基于荷兰一家大型跨国公司的it部门收集的171个项目的数据集。本文还分析了随着时间的推移是否存在学习(改进)效应。结果表明,在所分析的组织中,预算、进度和工作量的准确性之间没有关系。此外,它们还表明,随着时间的推移,精度、有效性和效率没有变化。本文对如何改进历史估计的学习进行了反思并提出了建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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