Debris-flow hazard assessment and methods applied in engineering practice

D. Rickenmann
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

Debris flows constitute a major natural hazard in mountainous regions. The main elements required for a practical hazard assessment include the following steps: (i) estimation of potential initiation zones and sediment sources, (ii) establishment of a relation between the magnitude and frequency of expected future debris-flow events, and (iii) assessment of the flow behavior and delineation of areas potentially endangered by flowing debris. A general overview is presented of the main triggering conditions and initiation mechanisms for debris-flow formation. A brief summary is given of methods to establish a magnitude-frequency relation and to estimate the total volume of sediments transported to the fan during so-called “design” events. To assess the runout distance of debris flows and potentially affected areas, either simple empirical approaches or more physically based numerical simulation models may be used. An example application for a Swiss debris fan illustrates the variability of the results when using three different debris-flow simulation models, even though all three models were first calibrated based on the observed deposition areas of a past event.
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泥石流危险性评价及其在工程实践中的应用
泥石流是山区的主要自然灾害。实际危害评估所需的主要要素包括以下步骤:(i)估计潜在的起始区和沉积物来源,(ii)建立预期未来泥石流事件的震级和频率之间的关系,以及(iii)评估流动行为并划定可能受到流动泥石流威胁的地区。概述了泥石流形成的主要触发条件和起生机制。简要总结了在所谓的“设计”事件中建立震级-频率关系和估计输送到风机的沉积物总量的方法。为了评估泥石流和潜在受影响地区的跳动距离,可以使用简单的经验方法或更基于物理的数值模拟模型。瑞士泥石流扇的一个应用实例说明了使用三种不同的泥石流模拟模型时结果的可变性,尽管这三种模型都是首先根据过去事件中观测到的沉积区域进行校准的。
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