The Impact of Village Cash Transfer on Rural Households’ Economic Well-being

Alan Sutisna, R. Qibthiyyah
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Abstract

Indonesia applied adjustments and refocused the policy of using the Village Funds budget to minimize the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, especially in the rural area. The Village Funds have been used as a social safety net as Village Cash Transfer. The researchers carried out this study to present an overview of the evaluation of the effects of Village Cash Transfer on the economic well-being of rural communities in every household quintile. This study uses data on the characteristics of 35,759 households obtained from merging results of the March & September 2020 Susenas data with the Village Fund data in each district/city area. Data were analysed using Smoothed Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression, which overcame endogeneity issues and produced robust estimates. The study results show that the Village Cash Transfer has a positive and significant impact on the economic well-being of rural households. Still, their impact is felt more by the upper middle quintile households, which benefit more from Village Cash Transfer households in the Java region. As a result, it is advisable for Governments to be more generous in providing benefits to families in the lowest quantile and to monitor the program by the requirements of beneficiaries closely.
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农村现金转移对农户经济福利的影响
印度尼西亚进行了调整,并重新调整了使用乡村基金预算的政策重点,以尽量减少2020年Covid-19大流行的影响,特别是在农村地区。农村资金作为社会保障网络,作为农村现金转移支付。研究人员开展了这项研究,概述了农村现金转移对每个家庭五分之一农村社区经济福祉的影响评估。本研究使用了35,759户家庭的特征数据,这些数据是通过将2020年3月和9月的Susenas数据与每个地区/城市地区的村基金数据合并而成的。使用平滑工具变量分位数回归分析数据,克服了内生性问题并产生了稳健的估计。研究结果表明,农村现金转移对农户经济福祉具有显著的正向影响。尽管如此,它们的影响更多地体现在中上五分之一家庭中,他们从爪哇地区的农村现金转移家庭中受益更多。因此,各国政府应更慷慨地向最低分位数的家庭提供福利,并根据受益人的需要密切监测方案。
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