Systemic Risk Analysis of Some Sharia Share in Jakarta Islamic Index

Tisa Annisa, D. Susanti, Jumadil Saputra
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Abstract

When investing, investors tend to only pay attention to the Risk of the value owned by an individual stock (Value at Risk) when there is a risk of another, namely systemic Risk. Systemic Risk is the Risk that has the overall effect on the Risk of another. Systemic Risks of Islamic stock issues are discussed in this study. This study analyzed whether there is any significant relationship between individual Risk (Value at Risk) in Islamic stocks with systemic Risk. Systemic Risk is calculated using the Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) with an estimated Quantile Regression Model (QRM).  Based on the data processing results, the stock with the highest Value at Risk is PT Astra Agro Lestari, Tbk (AALI), whereas the stocks with the highest systemic risk value are PT. Astra International, Tbk (ASII). This indicates no significant relationship between the Value at Risk and Systemic Risk.
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雅加达伊斯兰指数中部分伊斯兰教法股票的系统性风险分析
在投资时,投资者往往只关注个股所拥有价值的风险(风险价值),而存在另一只股票的风险,即系统性风险。系统性风险是指对其他风险具有整体影响的风险。本研究探讨了伊斯兰股票发行的系统性风险。本研究分析了伊斯兰股票的个体风险(风险值)与系统性风险之间是否存在显著关系。系统风险使用条件风险值(CoVaR)和估计的分位数回归模型(QRM)来计算。根据数据处理结果,风险价值最高的股票为PT Astra Agro Lestari, Tbk (AALI),而系统风险价值最高的股票为PT. Astra International, Tbk (ASII)。这表明风险价值与系统性风险之间没有显著的关系。
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