A STUDY ON COVID-19 DATA WITH LOG-LINEAR MODEL APPROACH

G. Altun
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Abstract

The researchers have done several studies to explore the important variables on the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) disease. However, there is no direct research to examine the interaction between the variables affecting the COVID-19 disease. In this study, the log-linear models are used to explore the significant interactions between the country, gender and age variables. Empirical findings of the presented study show that the main effects are found statistically significant for country, gender and age variables. The two-way interactions between the gender and country and between the interaction of the country and age are found statistically significant. The risk of the China for catching the COVID-19 disease is 1.7 times higher than the risk of the South Korea for catching the COVID-19 disease. The risk of male individuals is 1.2 times higher than the risk of female individuals for catching the COVID-19 disease. Additionally, the individuals having the 41-60 age group has higher risk than the individuals having 70 and above age group. We believe that the empirical results of the presented study will be helpful to the policymakers for decreasing the spread of the COVID-19 disease.
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基于对数线性模型方法的COVID-19数据研究
研究人员进行了多项研究,以探索新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)疾病的重要变量。然而,目前还没有直接研究来检验影响COVID-19疾病的变量之间的相互作用。在本研究中,使用对数线性模型来探索国家、性别和年龄变量之间的显著相互作用。本研究的实证结果表明,国家、性别和年龄变量的主要影响具有统计学意义。性别与国家之间、国家与年龄之间的双向交互作用具有统计学意义。中国感染新冠肺炎的风险是韩国的1.7倍。男性个体感染COVID-19疾病的风险比女性个体高1.2倍。此外,41-60岁年龄组的人比70岁及以上年龄组的人有更高的风险。我们相信,本研究的实证结果将有助于政策制定者减少COVID-19疾病的传播。
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