Analyzing the causal relationship between the variables of economic stability in Iraq using Granger's causality

Prof. Dr. Ghufran Hatem Alwan
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Abstract

Economic stability is the state or position in which the full employment of the available economic resources or what is known as the  gross domestic product possible is achieved and the occurrence of unemployment is avoided, up to the natural rate of unemployment and the avoidance of large changes in the general level of prices which it mean keeping inflation rates at controlled levels in light of Maintaining an appropriate real growth rate in real output. Therefore, economic policy and economic decision-makers in all developed and developing countries have attached great importance to this, and they have solid convictions of adopting macroeconomic policies to influence the specific variables that affect it to restore the economy to a state of balance and stability away from economic fluctuations.
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运用Granger因果关系分析伊拉克经济稳定各变量之间的因果关系
经济稳定是一种状态或地位,在这种状态或地位下,可用的经济资源或所谓的国内生产总值可能得到充分利用,失业的发生得以避免,直至自然失业率和避免一般价格水平的大幅变化,这意味着根据保持适当的实际产出的实际增长率,将通货膨胀率保持在可控水平。因此,所有发达国家和发展中国家的经济政策和经济决策者都非常重视这一点,他们有坚定的信念,即采取宏观经济政策来影响影响它的具体变量,使经济恢复到平衡和稳定的状态,远离经济波动。
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