Borrowing Fees and Expected Stock Returns

Kaitlin Hendrix, Gavin Crabb
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Abstract

Borrowing fees set in the securities lending market contain reliable information about the cross section of short-term expected stock returns. Using securities lending data for 14 developed and emerging markets from 2011 to 2018, we find that stocks with high borrowing fees tend to underperform their peers over the short term. Moreover, stocks that remain expensive to borrow continue to underperform, but persistence of high borrowing fees is not systematically predictable. While the information in borrowing fees is fast decaying, it can still be efficiently incorporated into real-world equity portfolios.
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借款费用和预期股票收益
证券借贷市场设定的借款费用包含有关股票短期预期收益截面的可靠信息。利用2011年至2018年14个发达市场和新兴市场的证券借贷数据,我们发现,高借贷费用的股票在短期内往往表现不佳。此外,那些借贷成本仍然很高的股票继续表现不佳,但持续的高借贷费用是无法系统预测的。虽然借款费用中的信息正在迅速衰减,但它仍然可以有效地纳入现实世界的股票投资组合。
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