Program Keluarga Harapan: Can It Reduce Poverty and Increase Welfare in Indonesia? Household Level Evidence from Districts/Cities in Indonesia on 2019

Dela Resina, Neng Kamarni, Febriandi Prima Putra
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Abstract

Poverty is a multidimensional phenomenon which is a major challenge in all countries. To reduce poverty and improve welfare, government intervention programs are needed. Conditional cash transfer programs are widely implemented in several countries. In Indonesia, there is Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH). This program has many debates as an anti-poverty program. This research looks at the effect of PKH on poverty and welfare in Indonesia. It used the 2019 Susenas raw data and analyzed by SEM-PLS method. The findings showed that PKH had a negative-significant effect on poverty and a positive-significant effect on welfare in Indonesia. In addition, poverty has a negative and significant effect on welfare in Indonesia. The research results are expected to be input for the central and regional governments in making policies for the sustainability of PKH implementation in reducing poverty and increasing welfare.
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希望之光计划:能在印尼减少贫困和增加福利吗?2019年来自印度尼西亚各区/城市的家庭层面证据
贫穷是一个多方面的现象,是所有国家面临的重大挑战。为了减少贫困和提高福利,政府干预计划是必要的。有条件现金转移支付方案在一些国家得到了广泛实施。在印度尼西亚,有“希望之党计划”(PKH)。这个项目作为一个反贫困项目有很多争论。本研究着眼于PKH对印度尼西亚贫困和福利的影响。使用2019年Susenas的原始数据,采用SEM-PLS方法进行分析。研究结果表明,印尼PKH对贫困有负显著影响,对福利有正显著影响。此外,贫穷对印度尼西亚的福利也有负面和显著的影响。研究结果可望为中央及地方政府制定可持续实施PKH以减少贫穷及增加福利的政策提供参考。
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