Análisis integral de los flujos comerciales entre el Perú y China con miras a la firma de un acuerdo de alcance parcial

Carlos Gallardo Torres
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Abstract

Trade and its role in economic development have been amongst Peru’s priorities since the country’s economic opening. Along this line, it is easy to understand Peru’s decision to start negotiations to establish trade preference agreements with its main trading partners. This research starts by presenting the scenario for potential trade negotiations between Peru and the People’s Republic of China. The analysis is based on a methodology integrating calculations of trade indicators and the design of tariff item classification and potential identification matrices. Our outcomes’ analysis allows identifying those goods that are actually taking advantage of present trade relations between Peru and China, and other goods that might take further advantage of more open markets once a trade agreement is reached between the two nations. In addition, our research allows preparing a ranking of product classifications taking account of those industries and products where Peru should focus during trade talks with China.
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对秘鲁和中国之间的贸易流动进行全面分析,以期签署部分范围的协议
自秘鲁经济开放以来,贸易及其在经济发展中的作用一直是秘鲁的优先事项之一。沿着这条路线,很容易理解秘鲁决定开始与其主要贸易伙伴建立贸易优惠协定的谈判。本研究首先提出了秘鲁和中华人民共和国之间潜在贸易谈判的情景。该分析基于一种方法,将贸易指标的计算与关税项目分类和潜在识别矩阵的设计结合起来。通过对结果的分析,我们可以确定哪些商品实际上是在利用秘鲁和中国之间目前的贸易关系,而其他商品可能会在两国达成贸易协议后进一步利用更开放的市场。此外,考虑到秘鲁在与中国的贸易谈判中应该重点关注的行业和产品,我们的研究允许编制产品分类排名。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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