Turkey’s Security Dilemma on the Border with Syria: Situation Assessment and Perspectives of the Intervention

Simonas Dapkus
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Employing the concept of the security dilemma, the article aims to assess the situation on the Turkey-Syria border and discusses perspectives of Turkey’s humanitarian intervention in northern Syria. In the first section of the article an analysis of Turkey’s foreign policy and its implications on Syria’s crisis is provided. The second section deals with arguments for and against the intervention. Later on, international law and military provisions are discussed as well as the possible implications of an intervention. The main thesis of this article is that if Turkey chose to solve its security dilemma by means of a humanitarian intervention, the UN Security Council’s approval would greatly enhance the chances of its success. Otherwise, unilateral intervention could even further diminish the possibility of finding a faster solution to the Syrian crisis and regional peace and stability in general.
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土耳其与叙利亚边境的安全困境:局势评估与干预的视角
本文运用安全困境的概念,旨在评估土耳其-叙利亚边境的局势,并讨论土耳其在叙利亚北部进行人道主义干预的前景。文章的第一部分分析了土耳其的外交政策及其对叙利亚危机的影响。第二部分讨论支持和反对干预的理由。稍后,将讨论国际法和军事规定以及干预可能产生的影响。本文的主要论点是,如果土耳其选择通过人道主义干预来解决其安全困境,联合国安理会的批准将大大增加其成功的机会。否则,单边干预将进一步削弱更快解决叙利亚危机和地区和平稳定的可能性。
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