Dynamic Rational Inattention and the Phillips Curve

H. Afrouzi, Choongryul Yang
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引用次数: 31

Abstract

We develop a tractable and portable method for characterizing the solution to dynamic multivariate rational inattention models in linear quadratic Gaussian settings. We apply our framework to propose an attention driven theory of the Phillips curve, the slope of which is endogenous to how monetary policy is conducted. We show that the Phillips curve is flatter when the monetary policy is more hawkish: rationally inattentive firms find it optimal to ignore monetary policy shocks when the monetary authority commits to stabilize nominal variables. Moreover, we show that an unexpectedly more dovish monetary policy leads to a completely flat Phillips curve in the short-run and a steeper Phillips curve in the long-run.
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动态理性不注意与菲利普斯曲线
我们开发了一种易于处理和便携的方法来表征线性二次高斯设置下动态多元有理不注意模型的解。我们运用我们的框架提出了一个注意力驱动的菲利普斯曲线理论,其斜率是货币政策如何执行的内生的。我们发现,当货币政策更强硬时,菲利普斯曲线更平坦;当货币当局承诺稳定名义变量时,理性注意力不集中的企业发现忽略货币政策冲击是最优的。此外,我们还表明,出乎意料的更温和的货币政策导致菲利普斯曲线在短期内完全平坦,而菲利普斯曲线在长期内更陡峭。
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