Deep Learning-based Hybrid Technique for Forecasting Web Traffic

Akash Mahanand, Prathibha Prakash, Anjuna Devaraj
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Abstract

Web traffic is a kind of time-series motion, having its highs and lows. The analysis of predicting web traffic has a greater significance for website owners, to make reliable decisions for website users. But the major gripe often faced while exploring concealed and significant details are regarding web users' different usage patterns. In this paper, we apply hybrid-based deep learning algorithms which combine two different architectures of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). The outcome of our hybrid model is acquired by using the ensemble method of stacking. The Web Traffic Time Series Forecasting(WTTSF) dataset by Kaggle is being used to predict future traffic of Wikipedia articles. We use mean squared error, mean absolute error, and $R^{2}$ as major conventional evaluation metrics and it offers less error even though it has data randomness over a large scale.
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基于深度学习的网络流量预测混合技术
网络流量是一种时间序列运动,有其高峰和低谷。预测网站流量的分析对于网站所有者,为网站用户做出可靠的决策具有较大的意义。但是,在探索隐藏的和重要的细节时,经常面临的主要抱怨是关于网络用户不同的使用模式。在本文中,我们应用了基于混合的深度学习算法,该算法结合了循环神经网络(RNN)、长短期记忆(LSTM)和门控循环单元(GRU)两种不同的架构。混合模型的结果是用叠加的集成方法得到的。Kaggle的网络流量时间序列预测(WTTSF)数据集被用来预测维基百科文章的未来流量。我们使用均方误差、平均绝对误差和R^{2}$作为主要的常规评估指标,即使它在大范围内具有数据随机性,它也提供了更小的误差。
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