Sensitivity Analysis of Debris Flow Simulations Using Kanako-2D

M. A. Paixão, M. Kobiyama, M. Fujita, K. Nakatani
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Abstract

different Due to the complexity and difficulty of observing debris flow in the field, computational modeling has been used to investigate this geological phenomenon. One of the computational simulators for this purpose is Kanako-2D. In order to understand the phenomenon itself and the model, the present study performs a sensitivity analysis of the Kanako-2D simulator in relation to runout distance, reached area, and flow width. The values of the input parameters were individually changed in a physical-based criterion while the others were kept at standard values. Real slope-site with a history of debris flow and a hypothetical slope-site with similar characteristics were utilized. The sensitivity analysis was quantified from three methods : screening, regionalized, and variance analysis. The results show high sensitivity to Kanako-2D for the angle of internal friction, sediment diameter, the mass density of the fluid phase, and the mass density of bed material.
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基于Kanako-2D的泥石流模拟敏感性分析
由于泥石流野外观测的复杂性和难度,计算建模被用于研究这种地质现象。用于此目的的计算模拟器之一是Kanako-2D。为了理解这种现象本身和模型,本研究对Kanako-2D模拟器进行了与跳动距离、到达面积和流宽相关的敏感性分析。输入参数的值在基于物理的标准下单独改变,而其他值保持在标准值。利用具有泥石流历史的真实边坡场地和具有相似特征的假设边坡场地。敏感性分析通过筛选、区域化和方差分析三种方法进行量化。结果表明,内摩擦角、沉积物直径、流体相质量密度和床层物质质量密度对Kanako-2D具有较高的敏感性。
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