Analysis of Dynamic Data

S. P. Mukherjee
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Abstract

1. Construction of forecasts for decision making in a context of uncertainty, in which managers need to take into account the consequences of all posibilities. 2. Represent the dynamic dependence of univariate and multivariate variables describing the main dynamic properties: trends, seasonal components and cicles. 3. Measure the dependence beween economic and financial variables observed along time. 4. Measure the volatility of financial variables to obtain, for example, the Value at Risk or forecast intervals for financial returns.
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动态数据分析
1. 在不确定的情况下为决策构建预测,在这种情况下,管理者需要考虑到所有可能性的后果。2. 表示描述主要动态特性的单变量和多变量的动态依赖关系:趋势、季节成分和周期。3.衡量长期观察到的经济和金融变量之间的依赖关系。4. 衡量财务变量的波动性,以获得风险值或财务回报的预测区间。
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