Data Analysis and Synthesis of COVID-19 Patients using Deep Generative Models: A Case Study of Jakarta, Indonesia

B. I. Nasution, Irfan Dwiki Bhaswara, Y. Nugraha, J. Kanggrawan
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Abstract

Two years have passed since COVID-19 broke out in Indonesia. In Indonesia, the central and regional governments have used vast amounts of data on COVID-19 patients for policymaking. However, it is clear that privacy problems can arise when people use their data. Thus, it is crucial to keep COVID-19 data private, using synthetic data publishing (SDP). One of the well-known SDP methods is by using deep generative models. This study explores the usage of deep generative models to synthesise COVID-19 individual data. The deep generative models used in this paper are Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN), Adversarial Autoencoders (AAE), and Adversarial Variational Bayes (AVB). This study found that AAE and AVB outperform GAN in loss, distribution, and privacy preservation, mainly when using the Wasserstein approach. Furthermore, the synthetic data produced predictions in the real dataset with sensitivity and an F1 score of more than 0.8. Unfortunately, the synthetic data produced still has drawbacks and biases, especially in conducting statistical models. Therefore, it is essential to improve the deep generative models, especially in maintaining the statistical guarantee of the dataset.
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基于深度生成模型的COVID-19患者数据分析与综合——以印度尼西亚雅加达为例
印尼新冠肺炎疫情已过去两年。在印度尼西亚,中央和地方政府在制定政策时使用了大量关于COVID-19患者的数据。然而,很明显,当人们使用他们的数据时,隐私问题就会出现。因此,使用合成数据发布(SDP)保持COVID-19数据的私密性至关重要。其中一个著名的SDP方法是使用深度生成模型。本研究探索使用深度生成模型来合成COVID-19个人数据。本文中使用的深度生成模型是生成对抗网络(GAN),对抗自编码器(AAE)和对抗变分贝叶斯(AVB)。本研究发现,AAE和AVB在损失、分布和隐私保护方面优于GAN,主要是在使用Wasserstein方法时。此外,合成数据在真实数据集中产生的预测具有灵敏度,F1得分超过0.8。不幸的是,合成数据仍然存在缺陷和偏差,特别是在进行统计模型时。因此,对深度生成模型进行改进,特别是维护数据集的统计保证是非常必要的。
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