The Sustainability of (Global) Withdrawal Strategies

Javier Estrada
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Abstract

The most important financial issue retirees have to deal with is whether their strategy will be able to sustain all the withdrawals they expect to make in retirement, as well as a bequest they aim to leave. For this reason, it is critical to periodically monitor the evolution of a financial plan in order to detect early signs of trouble, which may lead a retiree to introduce dynamic adjustments to a strategy. To that purpose, this article features two tools, a sustainability test and the sustainable withdrawal, and shows how to apply them. It also discusses the empirical evidence on both tools based on a comprehensive sample of 22 countries over a 120-year period.
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(全球)退出战略的可持续性
退休人员必须处理的最重要的财务问题是,他们的策略是否能够维持他们期望在退休时提取的所有资金,以及他们希望留下的遗产。出于这个原因,定期监测财务计划的演变是至关重要的,以便发现问题的早期迹象,这可能导致退休人员对战略进行动态调整。为此,本文提供了两个工具,可持续性测试和可持续性退出,并展示了如何应用它们。它还讨论了基于22个国家120年期间的综合样本的两种工具的经验证据。
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