prediction of fault count data using genetic programming

W. Afzal, R. Torkar, R. Feldt
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引用次数: 40

Abstract

Software reliability growth modeling helps in deciding project release time and managing project resources. A large number of such models have been presented in the past. Due to the existence of many models, the models' inherent complexity, and their accompanying assumptions; the selection of suitable models becomes a challenging task. This paper presents empirical results of using genetic programming (GP) for modeling software reliability growth based on weekly fault count data of three different industrial projects. The goodness of fit (adaptability) and predictive accuracy of the evolved model is measured using five different measures in an attempt to present a fair evaluation. The results show that the GP evolved model has statistically significant goodness of fit and predictive accuracy.
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基于遗传规划的故障计数数据预测
软件可靠性增长建模有助于确定项目发布时间和管理项目资源。过去已经提出了大量这样的模型。由于许多模型的存在,这些模型固有的复杂性,以及它们所伴随的假设;选择合适的模型成为一项具有挑战性的任务。本文给出了基于三个不同工业项目的周故障数数据,将遗传规划(GP)用于软件可靠性增长建模的实证结果。采用五种不同的测量方法来衡量模型的拟合优度(适应性)和预测精度,试图给出一个公平的评价。结果表明,GP进化模型具有统计学上显著的拟合优度和预测精度。
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