Stock Prices, News, and Economic Fluctuations: Comment

André Kurmann, Elmar Mertens
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引用次数: 33

Abstract

Beaudry and Portier (American Economoc Review, 2006) propose an identification scheme to study the effects of news shocks about future productivity in Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). This comment shows that their methodology does not have a unique solution, when applied to their VECMs with more than two variables. The problem arises from the interplay of cointegration assumptions and long-run restrictions imposed by Beaudry and Portier (2006).
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股票价格、新闻和经济波动:评论
Beaudry和Portier (American economic Review, 2006)提出了一种识别方案来研究向量误差修正模型(Vector Error Correction Models, VECM)中新闻冲击对未来生产率的影响。这一评论表明,当应用于具有两个以上变量的vecm时,他们的方法没有唯一的解决方案。问题源于协整假设和Beaudry和Portier(2006)施加的长期限制的相互作用。
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