EU funding as a determinant of foreign direct investments in rural areas - policy implications

Juris Hāzners, A. Zvirbule
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the direct impact of the EU funding on the spatial distribution of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in Latvian rural districts. While the determinants of inflows of FDI are often analysed at the regional and national level, the impact of the EU funding on the spatial distribution of FDI between the administrative entities within a single country is not extensively studied. The research objective is to assess the possible net impact of the EU funding on FDI inflows in Latvian rural districts, thus enabling the more targeted policy decisions with respect to the structure in future EU funding. To evaluate this impact, Instrumental Variables method is applied using the panel data on Latvian rural districts. The research results confirm that positive direct impact of the EU funding on the FDI inflows in Latvian rural districts exists, and it is substantial and statistically significant. At the same time, confounded ‘third factors’ might exist with negative impact on FDI inflows. While the spatial distribution of the FDI inflows in several regional aspects is rather uneven, the respective differences in the EU funding are less pronounced confirming the existence of negative ‘third factors’. Hence, the structure of the support by EU funds has to be revised to improve the local potential determinants of the FDI inflows with emphasis on infrastructure and human capital.
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欧盟资金作为农村地区外国直接投资的决定因素——政策影响
本文分析了欧盟资金对拉脱维亚农村地区外国直接投资流入空间分布的直接影响。虽然外国直接投资流入的决定因素经常在区域和国家一级进行分析,但欧盟资金对单一国家内行政实体之间外国直接投资空间分布的影响并没有得到广泛研究。研究目的是评估欧盟资金对拉脱维亚农村地区外国直接投资流入可能产生的净影响,从而使未来欧盟资金结构方面的政策决定更有针对性。为了评估这种影响,使用拉脱维亚农村地区的面板数据应用工具变量方法。研究结果证实,欧盟资金对拉脱维亚农村地区FDI流入量的直接正向影响是存在的,且具有实质性和统计学意义。同时,混杂的“第三因素”可能会对FDI流入产生负面影响。虽然FDI流入在几个区域的空间分布相当不平衡,但欧盟资金的各自差异不太明显,证实了负面“第三因素”的存在。因此,必须修改欧盟资金支持的结构,以改善外国直接投资流入的当地潜在决定因素,重点放在基础设施和人力资本上。
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