Diversifying with Cryptocurrencies during COVID-19

John W. Goodell, Stéphane Goutte
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引用次数: 21

Abstract

Literature suggests assets become more correlated during economic downturns. The current COVID-19 crisis provides an unprecedented opportunity to investigate this considerably further. Further, whether cryptocur-rencies provide a diversification for equities is still an unsettled issue. Additionally , the question of whether cryptocurrency futures are safe havens has received very little attention. We employ several econometric procedures , including wavelet coherence, copula principal component, and neural network analyses to rigorously examine the role of COVID-19 on the paired co-movements of six cryptocurrencies, as well as bitcoin futures, with fourteen equity indices and the VIX. We find co-movements between cryptocurrencies and equity indices gradually increased as COVID-19 progressed. However, most of these co-movements are positively correlated, suggesting that cryptocurrencies do not provide a diversification benefit during downturns. Exceptions, however, are the co-movements of bitcoin futures and tether being negative with equities. Results are consistent with investment vehicles that attract either more informed or more speculative investors differentiating themselves as safe havens.
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在COVID-19期间使用加密货币实现多元化
文献表明,在经济低迷时期,资产之间的相关性更强。当前的COVID-19危机为进一步调查这一问题提供了前所未有的机会。此外,加密货币是否为股票提供了一种多元化仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。此外,加密货币期货是否安全的问题很少受到关注。我们采用了几种计量经济学方法,包括小波相干性、copula主成分和神经网络分析,以严格检查COVID-19对六种加密货币以及比特币期货的配对协同运动的作用,包括14个股票指数和VIX。我们发现,随着COVID-19的进展,加密货币和股票指数之间的联动逐渐增加。然而,这些共同走势中的大多数都是正相关的,这表明加密货币在经济衰退期间不会提供多样化的好处。然而,例外情况是,比特币期货和以太币的共同走势与股市呈负相关。结果与吸引更多消息灵通或更具投机性的投资者的投资工具一致,这些投资者将自己区分为安全避风港。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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