The Hypotheses Testing Method for Evaluation of Startup Projects

Dmytro Shestakov
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Abstract

This paper suggests new perspective to evaluating innovation projects and understanding the nature of startup risks. Author consider five principal hypotheses that underlie every innovative project that comprise a bunch of respective assumptions to manage startup risks in a proactive manner. Suggested approach spots the light on a project’s uncertainties and risks, embedded investment and managerial options, and enables more comprehensive and accurate evaluation of innovation. The Hypotheses Testing Method enables to estimate risks and attractiveness of a startup project in a clear and fast manner. It replaces unclear traditional techniques like NPV and DCF, avoiding heavy cash flow modelling.
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创业项目评估的假设检验方法
本文为评估创新项目和理解创业风险的本质提供了新的视角。作者考虑了五个主要假设,这些假设构成了每个创新项目的基础,这些项目包括一堆各自的假设,以积极主动的方式管理启动风险。建议的方法突出了项目的不确定性和风险,嵌入式投资和管理选项,并能够更全面和准确地评估创新。假设检验方法能够清晰、快速地评估创业项目的风险和吸引力。它取代了NPV和DCF等不明确的传统技术,避免了沉重的现金流模型。
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