Analysis and Forecasting of Individual Stock Prices of Various Constituents in NIFTY 50

D. K. Gupta, R. Singh, Vikalp Ravi Jain
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Abstract

Financial forecasting is one of the trending research going on in the current market. Researchers are mainly focused on the parameters that are affecting share market. Presently researchers are able to discover the relation between macroeconomic variables and different indices. We are driving our research by discovering the relationship between macroeconomic variables and individual share prices, but before proceeding for the prediction, we firstly analyze each individual company and their dependence on raw products for the improvement in predicting the individual share prices. Each individual companies produce different units used by consumers. To compose those elements companies necessitate raw materials and because of those materials their share prices are being affected. We did an analysis that how strongly they need those raw materials in their production and how these companies are related. From that relation, we are able to parameterize our neural network for the prediction of different individual companies share prices.
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NIFTY 50指数各成分股个股价格的分析与预测
财务预测是当前市场研究的热点之一。研究人员主要关注影响股票市场的参数。目前研究人员已经能够发现宏观经济变量与不同指标之间的关系。我们通过发现宏观经济变量与个别股价之间的关系来推动我们的研究,但在进行预测之前,我们首先分析每个单独的公司及其对原材料的依赖,以改进预测个别股价。每个单独的公司生产不同的单位供消费者使用。为了构成这些要素,公司需要原材料,而这些原材料正影响着它们的股价。我们分析了他们在生产中对这些原材料的需求有多强烈,以及这些公司之间的联系有多紧密。从这个关系中,我们可以参数化我们的神经网络来预测不同的个别公司的股价。
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