A Framework for Passengers Demand Prediction and Recommendation

Kai Zhang, Zhiyong Feng, Shizhan Chen, Keman Huang, Guiling Wang
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引用次数: 62

Abstract

With the rapid development of mobile internet and wireless network technologies, more and more people use the mobile app to call a taxicab to pick them up. Therefore, understanding the passengers' travel demand becomes crucial to improve the utilization of the taxicabs and reduce their cost. In this paper, based on spatio-temporal clustering, we propose a demand hotspots prediction framework to generate recommendation for taxi drivers. Specially, an adaptive prediction approach is presented to demand hotspots and their hotness, and then combing the driver's location and the hotness, top candidates are recommended and visually presented to drivers. Based on the dataset provided by CAR INC., the experiment shows that our approach gains a significant improvement in hotspots prediction and recommendation, with 15.21% improvement on average f-measure for prediction and 79.6% hit ratio for recommendation.
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乘客需求预测与推荐框架
随着移动互联网和无线网络技术的快速发展,越来越多的人使用手机应用程序叫出租车来接他们。因此,了解乘客的出行需求对于提高出租车的利用率和降低出租车成本至关重要。本文基于时空聚类,提出了一种需求热点预测框架,为出租车司机提供推荐服务。特别提出了一种需求热点及其热度的自适应预测方法,结合驾驶员所在位置和热度,推荐最优候选点并直观呈现给驾驶员。基于CAR INC.提供的数据集,实验表明,我们的方法在热点预测和推荐方面取得了显著的进步,预测的平均f-measure提高了15.21%,推荐的命中率提高了79.6%。
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