Risk Analysis in the Process of Real Estate Enterprise Project Investment

Xiao-su Ye
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Real estate investment is a risky business. There are numerous risk factors exist in the investment process, and most of them are varied and changeable, such as the change of market supply and demand, policy adjustment, and the change of interest rate, all these factors impose direct influence on the success of the investment. The risk management standards of real estate enterprises in China are still at relative low level, which lack the risk management to the whole process of the project, and also there exist problem as inadequate market research, excessive depend on bank, ineffective management, and inadequate brand awareness. This paper evaluates the risk with Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method and puts forward the detailed prevention strategies towards these risks through analyzing the risk factors in the whole investment stage of decision-making, preparatory construction, construction, and sale. The real estate enterprises should take the quality management from the beginning to the end of the project, and do a solid feasibility study of project . They can also buy insurance, use hedge and hedging method to reduce or transfer the investment risk. This paper is aimed to provide reference to the administrator to make the decision more reasonable and scientific.
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房地产企业项目投资过程中的风险分析
房地产投资是一项有风险的生意。投资过程中有许多风险因素存在,他们中的大多数是多种多样的和多变,如市场供求的变化,政策调整,利率的变化,所有这些因素直接影响投资的成功。中国房地产企业的风险管理水平还处于较低水平,缺乏对项目全过程的风险管理,也存在市场调查不充分、过度依赖银行、管理不力、品牌意识不强等问题。本文采用模糊综合评价法对风险进行评价,并通过分析决策、前期施工、施工、销售等整个投资阶段的风险因素,提出了具体的风险防范策略。房地产企业应从项目的开始到结束进行质量管理,并对项目进行扎实的可行性研究。他们还可以购买保险,使用套期保值和套期保值方法来降低或转移投资风险。本文旨在为管理者做出更加合理、科学的决策提供参考。
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