Cryptocurrency Network Factors and Gold

Kei Nakagawa, Ryuta Sakemoto
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

Abstract Both cryptocurrencies and gold are scarce, expensive for extraction, and less affected by money supply. We focus on these similarities and investigate whether cryptocurrency network affects impact on expected return on gold. Our results show that the number of cryptocurrency wallet users is positively related to the expected return on gold. Moreover, we employed a machine-learning approach and considered the interactions among predictors. We reveal that network factors have a greater impact on gold than returns on Bitcoin and other macroeconomic and financial variables.
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加密货币网络因素和黄金
加密货币和黄金都是稀缺的,开采成本高,受货币供应的影响较小。我们关注这些相似之处,并研究加密货币网络是否会影响黄金的预期回报。我们的研究结果表明,加密货币钱包用户的数量与黄金的预期回报呈正相关。此外,我们采用了机器学习方法,并考虑了预测因子之间的相互作用。我们发现,网络因素对黄金的影响大于比特币和其他宏观经济和金融变量的回报。
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