INFLUENCE OF INFLATION RATE ON MACHINERY HIRE RATES IN CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY

Wesam Salah Alaloul, M. A. Musarat, M. S. Liew, A. H. Qureshi
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Abstract

Cost overrun is encountered in various construction projects and even with various advancement, the issue remains. When cost overrun occurs in any construction project, it not only affects the project also leaves marks on the construction industry as well. Machinery hire rates are important while finalizing the project budget and when the rates change annually it may result in project cost overrun. Due to these facts, this study investigates the effect of inflation rate on machinery hire rates. Inflation is a powerful influencing factor in deviating the prices and the rates which result in cost overrun. Statistical analysis was performed where the Spearman correlation was used as the data possess a nonlinear behaviour. The overall result came significant as the inflation rate showed a strong relationship with 9 machinery hire rates demonstrating that the inflation rate is the most prominent factor in deviating the rates. Three (3) machinery hire rates showed a moderate relationship, whereas 1 showed a weak relationship with the inflation rate. Therefore, a consideration of the inflation rate should be made in budget estimation.
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通货膨胀率对建筑业机械租用率的影响
在各种建设项目中都会遇到成本超支的问题,即使在各种进度中,这个问题仍然存在。任何建设项目一旦出现成本超支,不仅会影响到项目本身,也会给建筑行业留下烙印。在确定项目预算时,机械租赁费率很重要,当费率每年变化时,可能会导致项目成本超支。鉴于这些事实,本研究探讨通货膨胀率对机械租用率的影响。通货膨胀是导致成本超支的价格和利率偏离的一个强有力的影响因素。由于数据具有非线性行为,因此使用Spearman相关进行统计分析。总体结果是显著的,因为通货膨胀率显示出与9机器租用率的强烈关系,表明通货膨胀率是偏离率的最突出因素。3(3)机械租赁率与通货膨胀率呈中等关系,而1与通货膨胀率呈弱关系。因此,在预算估算中应考虑通货膨胀率。
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