STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RURAL POVERTY FACTORS IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

E. Grigorieva, E. Shilova, S. Z. Stakutis
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Abstract

The article presents the results of a correlation analysis of the ratio and dynamics of poverty in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The methodological foundations of the study are presented as a review of Russian and foreign studies of the ratio and reasons of poverty. We proposed the classification of the Russian constituent entities by the ratio of urbanization and conducted the two-dimensional grouping of constituent entities with an average ratio of urbanization by the ratio of poverty in 2019. The results of this study confirm the spread of poverty in rural areas and a high level of differentiation of constituent entities by poverty indicators. Multiple correlation analysis allowed us to estimated models of multiple regressions and identifies significant independent variables of the ratio and dynamics of poverty in constituent entities with an average ratio of urbanization. It is concluded that the poverty ratio is lower in those constituent entities where tourism, manufacturing, animal husbandry, individual entrepreneurship, higher education and postgraduate studies are better developed. But poverty reduction is more successful in those constituent entities where trade, transport and warehousing logistics are developing. In general, the study confirms the need to take into consideration specific regional features of the development of Russian constituent entities in the fight against poverty, the use of a targeted integrated approach in the selection of measures to reduce poverty.
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俄罗斯联邦农村贫困因素的统计分析
本文介绍了对俄罗斯联邦各组成实体的贫困比率和动态进行相关分析的结果。本研究的方法论基础是对俄罗斯和国外关于贫困比例和原因的研究的回顾。我们提出了按城镇化率对俄罗斯组成实体进行分类,并对2019年平均城镇化率和贫困率组成实体进行了二维分组。这项研究的结果证实了贫困在农村地区的蔓延,以及贫困指标对构成实体的高度分化。多元相关分析使我们能够估计多元回归模型,并确定具有平均城市化比率的组成实体的贫困比率和动态的重要自变量。研究发现,旅游、制造业、畜牧业、个体创业、高等教育和研究生教育发展较好的组成实体贫困率较低。但是,在贸易、运输和仓储物流正在发展的组成实体中,减贫工作更为成功。总的来说,这项研究证实,有必要考虑到俄罗斯各组成实体在与贫穷作斗争中发展的具体区域特点,在选择减少贫穷的措施时采用有目标的综合办法。
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