Analysis of Management Behavior in the Japanese Banking Industry Using System Dynamics

Narumi Nakazato, Y. Kohda
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Abstract

Measurement of Management behavior is a topic discussed in the field of Management. This paper presents the tendency of Managerial behavior in traditional Japanese banking sector and we focus on to the decision making on Fund management since it is the most important decision making in this industry. We also present how their behavior is anchored to their routine and negative behavior when they faced loss. The observation period measures for 20 years from 1997 to 2017 and we will show the 20 years trend of decision making using accessible data and a model created by using System Dynamics. We found the Managerial behavior on Fund management is conservative and avoiding risk instead of profit improvement for this observation period. Regarding to the interest rate for lending, it is not so linked to the policy rate though it is thought to be linked in general.
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基于系统动力学的日本银行业管理行为分析
管理行为的度量是管理学领域讨论的一个话题。本文介绍了日本传统银行业的管理行为倾向,重点研究了基金管理决策,因为基金管理是银行业最重要的决策。我们还展示了当他们面对损失时,他们的行为是如何锚定在他们的日常和消极行为上的。观察期为1997年至2017年的20年,我们将使用可访问的数据和使用系统动力学创建的模型来显示20年的决策趋势。我们发现,在这一观察期,基金管理的管理行为是保守的,避免风险,而不是提高利润。至于贷款利率,虽然通常被认为与政策利率有联系,但它与政策利率的联系并不那么紧密。
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