Can Machine Learning Unlock the Continuous Alpha? Empirical Study Based on China A-Share Market

Abstract

With the development of fintech and artificial intelligence, machine learning algorithms are widely used in quantitative investment. Based on the listed companies in China A-share market from February 2005 to July 2020, quantitative stock selection models with machine learning algorithms are established to obtain continuous alpha returns. The results show that machine learning algorithms can effectively identify the relationship between factors and returns and then improve the performance of the quantitative stock selection model. China A-share market is a weak-form efficient market. By mining the factors that are not fully digested by the market, continuous alpha returns can be obtained. The ensemble algorithms represented by the extremely randomized tree (ET) and light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) perform best in stock market prediction.