An Analysis of The Relation Between Foreign Direct Investment and Sociopolitical Variables in MENA Countries by Panel Regression

Betül Gür
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Abstract

Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays the role of an accelerator for the economic growth in host countries. Countries that provide the suitable environment economically and politically get ahead in this race. Over the last five years, the weighted importance of sociopolitical variables in the decision-making process has increased. The countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, although they have a potential to develop, are regarded as country groups that have not yet fully achieved this. This article reveals and interprets the relationship between FDI and sociopolitical variables such as political risk, human development index, terrorism risk index, multidimensional poverty index, the rule of law, regulatory quality, and control of corruption, utilizing panel regression analysis. In the analysis of the MENA countries covering the years 2010-2016, it was concluded that all independent variables except the human development index and multidimensional poverty index were statistically significant and effective on FDI.
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MENA国家外商直接投资与社会政治变量关系的面板回归分析
外国直接投资(FDI)对东道国的经济增长起着加速器的作用。在经济和政治上提供合适环境的国家在这场竞赛中处于领先地位。在过去五年中,社会政治变量在决策过程中的加权重要性有所增加。中东和北非地区的国家虽然有发展的潜力,但被视为尚未完全实现这一目标的国家集团。本文运用面板回归分析揭示了FDI与政治风险、人类发展指数、恐怖主义风险指数、多维贫困指数、法治、监管质量和腐败控制等社会政治变量之间的关系。在对2010-2016年MENA国家的分析中,除了人类发展指数和多维贫困指数外,所有自变量对FDI都具有统计显著性和有效性。
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