Developing a Risk-Based Approach for Optimizing Human Reliability Assessment in an Offshore Operation

A. Bahootoroody, M. M. Abaiee, R. Gholamnia, Mohammad Bahoo Torody, Nastaran Hekmat Nejad
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

Human error plays a pivotal rule in all aspects of engineering activities such as operation, maintenance, design, inspection and installation. Industries are faced up to various significant human errors and consequently irrecoverable loss each year, but still there is a lack of heeds to qualify as well as quantify such errors. This paper tries to estimate the probability of failure in lifting of light structures in sea by considering human errors. To do this, a strong qualifying tool such as Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) is applied to develop high risk accident scenario by considering non-linear socio-technical interaction in system. Afterwards, human error probability is calculated for each activity using the Success Likelihood Index Method (SLIM) based on resonance that is carried out in FRAM network. Then Event Tree (ET) is conducted to assess consequences. The present study is aimed to interpret the importance of attentions to qualitative methods in implementing quantitative risk analyses to consider human error in calculation. The final outcome depicts that considering human error in the process of risk assessment will result in more accuracy and reliability in final Risk Probability Number (RPN). The developed methodology has been applied to a case study of an offshore installation.
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开发一种基于风险的方法来优化海上作业人员可靠性评估
人为错误在操作、维护、设计、检查和安装等工程活动的各个方面都起着举足轻重的作用。工业每年都面临着各种重大的人为错误和由此造成的不可挽回的损失,但仍然缺乏对这些错误进行定性和量化的需要。本文试图在考虑人为误差的情况下,对海上轻型结构吊装失效概率进行估计。为此,应用功能共振分析方法(FRAM)等强大的鉴定工具,通过考虑系统中的非线性社会技术相互作用来开发高风险事故场景。然后,基于在FRAM网络中进行的共振,使用成功似然指数法(SLIM)计算每个活动的人为错误概率。然后进行事件树(Event Tree, ET)评估后果。本研究旨在解释在实施定量风险分析时注意定性方法的重要性,以考虑计算中的人为误差。最后的结果表明,在风险评估过程中考虑人为误差将使最终的风险概率数(RPN)更加准确和可靠。所开发的方法已应用于海上设施的案例研究。
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