Fundamentals in Systematics of Uncertainty Management Theory

E. Kuzmin
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

It is believed that a spontaneous nature of the uncertainty and its conceptual ambiguity reject a conceptual opportunity of management. Such a disposition, that has become a prevailing stereotype for the perceived uncertainty, leads us away from a productive solution to a number of pressing challenges to maintain economic safety and sustainable development. In opposition to this, in the paper, there is a thesis of administrative acceptability submitted for an academic discussion, methodological implementation of which is in line with a number of fundamental paradigms. It is a disclosure and systematization of uncertainty management principles that is a focus of the paper. The paper pays a special attention to an issue of perceived approaches to management, which have become traditional so far. There are also refined structural characteristics of the uncertainty functions and specifics of the management process.
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不确定性管理理论系统基础
人们认为,不确定性的自发性质及其概念上的模糊性拒绝了管理的概念机会。这种处置已成为人们普遍认为的不确定性的刻板印象,使我们无法有效地解决维持经济安全和可持续发展的一些紧迫挑战。与此相反,本文提出了一个行政可接受性的理论供学术讨论,其方法论实施符合若干基本范式。它是不确定性管理原则的披露和系统化,是本文的重点。本文特别关注到一个问题的感知方法的管理,这已经成为传统到目前为止。不确定性功能和管理过程的具体特征也有细化的结构特征。
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