Influence of the fourth industrial revolution on divergence and convergence of economic inequality for various countries

Vitaliy Kobets, Valeria Yatsenko
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Abstract

The choice between economic efficiency and social equity has become a key objection in economic development, since in the current economic system, which has become close to the Pareto optimum, the achievement of both of these goals is mutually exclusive. Further balancing between these goals is possible only with a fundamental change of current system of economic relations and getting access to new curves of production capabilities, which may become quite real within development of Industry 4.0 and 6th technological wave. Nevertheless, nobody can predict the social impact of Industry 4.0 on society, which in the context of future technological changes transforms into Society 4.0. The purpose of this paper is to conduct a cluster analysis of countries inequality due to IT development. We researched impact of gross capital formation, research and development expenditure to create innovations, intellectual property and high-technology exports on inequality of countries using principal component analysis based on open data for 2012 – 2015. 2 main clusters of 45 countries were identified which have convergence and divergence attributes due to IT development. It was also revealed the countries with inequalities in ensuring economic efficiency and social equity due to other reasons which are not connected with IT development.
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第四次工业革命对各国经济不平等分化与趋同的影响
在经济效率和社会公平之间的选择已经成为经济发展中的一个关键问题,因为在当前的经济体系中,这两个目标的实现已经接近帕累托最优,这两个目标的实现是相互排斥的。只有从根本上改变当前的经济关系体系,并获得新的生产能力曲线,才能在这些目标之间取得进一步的平衡,这在工业4.0和第六次技术浪潮的发展中可能会成为现实。然而,没有人能预测工业4.0对社会的社会影响,在未来技术变革的背景下,它将转变为社会4.0。本文的目的是对信息技术发展导致的国家不平等进行聚类分析。我们利用基于2012 - 2015年公开数据的主成分分析,研究了资本形成总额、创新研发支出、知识产权和高科技出口对各国不平等的影响。由于信息技术的发展,确定了45个国家的2个主要集群具有趋同和分化属性。报告还揭示了由于与信息技术发展无关的其他原因,在确保经济效率和社会公平方面存在不平等的国家。
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