Is a Guaranteed Living Wage a Good Anti-Poverty Policy?

Rinku Murgai, M. Ravallion
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引用次数: 43

Abstract

Minimum wages are generally thought to be unenforceable in developing rural economies. But there is one solution - a workfare scheme in which the government acts as the employer of last resort. Is this a cost-effective policy against poverty? Using a microeconometric model of the casual labor market in rural India, the authors find that a guaranteed wage rate sufficient for a typical poor family to reach the poverty line would bring the annual poverty rate down from 34 percent to 25 percent at a fiscal cost representing 3-4 percent of GDP when run for the whole year. Confining the scheme to the lean season (three months) would bring the annual poverty rate down to 31 percent at a cost of 1.3 percent of GDP. While the gains from a guaranteed wage rate would be better targeted than a uniform (untargeted) cash transfer, the extra costs of the wage policy imply that it would have less impact on poverty.
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保障生活工资是一项好的反贫困政策吗?
人们普遍认为,在发展中的农村经济中,最低工资是无法执行的。但有一个解决方案——一个由政府充当最后雇主的福利计划。这是一项具有成本效益的扶贫政策吗?利用印度农村临时工市场的微观计量经济学模型,作者发现,保证工资率足以使一个典型的贫困家庭达到贫困线,将使年度贫困率从34%降至25%,而财政成本在全年运行时相当于GDP的3- 4%。将该计划限制在淡季(三个月)将使年度贫困率降至31%,代价是GDP的1.3%。虽然保证工资率的收益比统一的(无目标的)现金转移更有针对性,但工资政策的额外成本意味着它对贫困的影响较小。
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