Imagining Life Beyond a Crisis: A Four Quadrant Model to Conceptualize Possible Futures

Séamus A. Power, Merlin Schaeffer, Liisalotte Ordóñez-Bueso, Rebecca Udsen, T. Morton, J. Heisig
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Abstract

In this article we report evidence from a series of semi-structured interviews with a broad sample of people living in Denmark ( n = 21), about their perspectives on the future during the first months of the global Covid-19 pandemic. The thematic and discursive analyses, based on an abductive ontology, illustrate imaginings of the future along two vectors: individual to collective and descriptive to moral. On a descriptive and individual level, people imagined getting through the pandemic on a myopic day-by-day basis; on a descriptive and collective level, people imagined changes to work and socializing. Their future was bound and curtailed by their immediate present. On a moral and individual level, respondents were less detailed in their reports, but some vowed to change their behaviors. On a moral and collective level, respondents reported what the world should be like and discussed changes to environmental behaviors such as traveling, commuting, and work. The model suggests the domain of individual moral imaginings is the most difficult domain for people to imagine beyond the practicalities of their everyday lives. The implications of this model for comprehending imaginations of the future are discussed.
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想象危机后的生活:一个四象限模型来概念化可能的未来
在本文中,我们报告了对居住在丹麦的广泛样本(n = 21)进行的一系列半结构化访谈的证据,了解他们在全球Covid-19大流行的头几个月对未来的看法。主题和话语分析,基于溯因本体论,说明未来的想象沿着两个向量:个人到集体和描述性到道德。在描述和个人层面上,人们想象着以短视的眼光日复一日地度过大流行;在描述和集体层面上,人们想象工作和社交的变化。他们的未来被眼前的现实所束缚和限制。在道德和个人层面上,受访者在报告中没有那么详细,但有些人发誓要改变自己的行为。在道德和集体层面上,受访者报告了世界应该是什么样子,并讨论了旅行、通勤和工作等环境行为的变化。该模型表明,个人道德想象领域是人们最难以想象的领域,超出了他们日常生活的实用性。讨论了该模型对理解未来想象的影响。
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