Financial Integration and International Diversification Benefits: Cross Country Evidence from a Malaysian Perspective

Surianor Kamaralzaman, F. Samad, M. Isa
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Abstract

A vast deal of research presenting evidence on the benefits of international diversification has been published. The empirical studies came to rather diverse conclusions as the authors used different sampling data, analyzed different countries within a different time period. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the degree of financial integration and benefits of portfolio diversification between the Malaysian equity markets and developed and developing equity markets from Malaysian perspective. The research question is; Is Malaysian financial market integrated to developed and developing markets? It inspects the controversial issues of market segmentation and integration in an emerging market setting, namely Malaysia. In the analysis, the developed and developing equity returns are adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations using Ringgit Malaysia based exchange rates. By employing time series analysis, the paper also seeks to investigate which market actually leads the Malaysian stock market. The research is based on secondary data, existing theories and earlier studies regarding international integration of stock market movements. The methodology utilizes standard co integration analysis, vector error correction model and portfolio theory. We also rely on variance decomposition and impulse response functions to gauge the strength of the interactions among the variables. This study contains secondary data for the period of 1999 to 2008.The study comprises monthly closing Morgan Stanley Composite Index (MSCI) indices of twenty developed and developing countries. The findings from the analysis could be useful to fund managers in their essential decision for portfolio management. The findings may also be of interest to policy makers interested in stock market co movement, since internationalization of markets could represent significant capital inflow or outflow and thus influence savings and consumption decisions.
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金融一体化与国际多元化利益:来自马来西亚视角的跨国证据
已经发表了大量研究报告,证明了国际多样化的好处。由于作者使用了不同的抽样数据,分析了不同时期的不同国家,因此实证研究得出了相当不同的结论。本文的目的是从马来西亚的角度分析马来西亚股票市场与发达和发展中股票市场之间的金融一体化程度和投资组合多样化的收益。研究的问题是;马来西亚金融市场是否与发达市场和发展中市场融合?它检查市场细分和整合在新兴市场的设置,即马来西亚有争议的问题。在分析中,发达国家和发展中国家的股本回报率采用以马来西亚林吉特为基础的汇率,根据汇率波动进行调整。通过采用时间序列分析,本文还试图调查哪个市场实际上领先马来西亚股票市场。本研究基于二手数据、现有理论和早期关于股票市场运动国际一体化的研究。该方法采用标准协整分析、矢量误差修正模型和投资组合理论。我们还依靠方差分解和脉冲响应函数来衡量变量之间相互作用的强度。本研究包含1999年至2008年期间的二手数据。该研究包括20个发达国家和发展中国家的摩根士丹利综合指数(MSCI)月度收盘指数。分析结果可能对基金经理进行投资组合管理的关键决策有用。研究结果也可能引起对股票市场变动感兴趣的决策者的兴趣,因为市场国际化可能代表大量资本流入或流出,从而影响储蓄和消费决策。
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