Employing the Critical juncture hypothesis to explain the 2011 Egyptian revolution

Rustam Mussa, Raushan Yesbergen
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Abstract

Our research question involves applying the critical juncture hypothesis formulated by Daron Acemoglu and his co-authors in the series of the articles and books to the context of the 2011 Arab Spring events. Critical juncture hypothesis states that politics and political institutions determine what economic institutions a country has, because the former represents the distribution of political power. Whoever controls political institutions then can set up economic institutions, determining the rules governing economic activities and who will benefit from them. Generated resources are then used in defending these sets of institutions. Though for Acemoglu and his co-authors politics always precedes economics, it is the interplay of political and economic institutions that explain contemporary development of states. The case of 2011 Egyptian Revolution is presented, as the well-documented illustraion of the hypothesis at work.
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运用关键节点假说来解释2011年埃及革命
我们的研究问题涉及将Daron Acemoglu和他的合著者在一系列文章和书籍中提出的关键节点假设应用于2011年阿拉伯之春事件的背景下。关键节点假说认为,政治和政治制度决定了一个国家的经济制度,因为前者代表了政治权力的分配。谁控制了政治机构,谁就能建立经济机构,决定支配经济活动的规则,以及谁将从中受益。然后,生成的资源被用于保护这些机构。虽然对于阿西莫格鲁和他的合著者来说,政治总是先于经济,但政治和经济制度的相互作用解释了当代国家的发展。以2011年埃及革命为例,充分证明了这一假说的有效性。
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